Game week 13: Fantasy Premier League

How I done last week

Team of the week:

The fixtures:

Pedro vs Cunha:

With the likes of Chris Wood and Solanke both going into a long patch of though games, if you are looking for a cheap striker you will probably end up looking at Joao Pedro of Brighon or Cunha of Wolves.

So far an injury ridden Pedro has racked up 30 points with 3 goals and an assist, while Cunha had 7 goals and 3 assists in a Wolves team that has struggeled up until a few weeks ago.Both have brillant runs of fixtures coming up over the Christmas period snd should they both stay fit be great options.

However before recommending them I must warn you all by stating Pedro has had injury issues all season and Cunha has hugely over performed with him scoring 7 out of an XG of 2.9. His expected points sit at 48 massively low considering he has actually picked up 74 points.

Personally if i had to pick between them I would go with Pedro especially as he plays Southampton at home and no other team has as many XG going into this weekends fixtures, before games to Fulham and Leicester over the next week

Saka V Palmer V Salah

• Mohamed Salah:

  • High PPG (10.17) and goal contribution (1 goal/game) make him a standout performer.

  • Contributes less in creating opportunities (xA: 0.13) compared to the others but excels in scoring (xG: 0.76).

  • Heatmap indicates a dominant presence in the right wing and penalty area.

• Cole Palmer:

  • Decent PPG (4.17) and balanced contributions in assists and goals (0.17 each/game).

  • xA (0.17) and xG (0.37) are modest, reflecting a supporting role rather than a primary goal-scorer.

  • Heatmap shows activity spread across midfield with occasional involvement in attack.

• Bukayo Saka:

  • Well-rounded player with strong contributions in both goals (0.6/game) and assists (0.6/game).

  • Slightly lower expected contributions (xG: 0.21, xA: 0.29) suggest he's exceeding expected performances.

  • Heatmap indicates a wide presence on the right flank with an emphasis on creativity and delivery into the box.

Injury updates:

Arsenal

• Ruled Out: Takehiro Tomiyasu (knee), Ben White (knee)

• Doubts: Gabriel Magalhaes (knock)

• Suspensions: None

Aston Villa

• Ruled Out: Amadou Onana (foot), Ezri Konsa (hip), Jacob Ramsey (hamstring), Boubacar Kamara (hamstring)

• Doubts: Pau Torres (muscle), Ian Maatsen (knock)

• Suspensions: None

Bournemouth

• Ruled Out: Luis Sinisterra (hamstring), Alex Scott (knee), Julian Araujo (hamstring)

• Doubts: None

• Suspensions: Antoine Semenyo (until 5th December)

Brentford

• Ruled Out: Aaron Hickey (hamstring), Josh Dasilva (knee), Igor Thiago (knee), Rico Henry (knee), Gustavo Nunes (back), Kristoffer Ajer (foot)

• Doubts: None

• Suspensions: None

Brighton

• Ruled Out: James Milner (hamstring), Adam Webster (hamstring)

• Doubts: Solly March (ankle), Jack Hinshelwood (muscle), Ferdi Kadioglu (toe)

• Suspensions: Carlos Baleba (until 5th December)

Chelsea

• Ruled Out: Omari Kellyman (hamstring), Reece James (hamstring)

• Doubts: Cole Palmer (knock), Jadon Sancho (knock), Wesley Fofana (knee), Malo Gusto (knock), Levi Colwill (knock), Romeo Lavia (knock)

• Suspensions: None

Crystal Palace

• Ruled Out: Matheus Franca (groin), Chadi Riad (knee), Eberechi Eze (hamstring), Adam Wharton (groin), Eddie Nketiah (hamstring)

• Doubts: Joel Ward (knock)

• Suspensions: Daichi Kamada (until 7th December)

Everton

• Ruled Out: Youssef Chermiti (foot), Armando Broja (foot), James Garner (back), Tim Iroegbunam (foot), Seamus Coleman (hamstring)

• Doubts: Dwight McNeil (knee), Jarrad Branthwaite (groin)

• Suspensions: None

Fulham

• Ruled Out: Harrison Reed (knee)

• Doubts: None

• Suspensions: None

Ipswich

• Ruled Out: Jack Taylor (knock), Chiedozie Ogbene (Achilles)

• Doubts: Kalvin Phillips (knock), Wes Burns (knock), Nathan Broadhead (groin)

• Suspensions: None

Leicester

• Ruled Out: Jakub Stolarczyk (ankle), Ricardo Pereira (hamstring), Abdul Fatawu (ACL)

• Doubts: Harry Winks (groin)

• Suspensions: None

Liverpool

• Ruled Out: Alisson Becker (hamstring), Diogo Jota (rib), Federico Chiesa (knock)

• Doubts: Kostas Tsimikas (knock), Conor Bradley (hamstring), Ibrahima Konate (knee)

• Suspensions: None

Manchester City

• Ruled Out: Oscar Bobb (leg), Rodri (knee), Ruben Dias (muscle), Mateo Kovacic (muscle)

• Doubts: John Stones (foot), Jack Grealish (knock), Manuel Akanji (muscle), Nathan Ake (hamstring)

• Suspensions: None

Manchester United

• Ruled Out: Harry Maguire (muscle)

• Doubts: Tyrell Malacia (knee), Amad Diallo (knock), Lisandro Martinez (knock), Victor Lindelof (knock), Kobbie Mainoo (muscle), Leny Yoro (fitness), Luke Shaw (fitness)

• Suspensions: None

Newcastle

• Ruled Out: Sven Botman (knee), Jamaal Lascelles (knee), Emil Krafth (knee)

• Doubts: Bruno Guimaraes (thigh), Joe Willock (knock)

• Suspensions: None

Nottingham Forest

• Ruled Out: Danilo (ankle), Ibrahim Sangare (hamstring)

• Doubts: Elliot Anderson (knock), Ola Aina (knock), Morgan Gibbs-White (ankle), Anthony Elanga (knock)

• Suspensions: None

Southampton

• Ruled Out: Gavin Bazunu (Achilles), Ross Stewart (muscle), Will Smallbone (hamstring), Aaron Ramsdale (finger), Jan Bednarek (knee), Adam Lallana (hamstring)

• Doubts: Paul Onuachu (knock)

• Suspensions: None

Spurs

• Ruled Out: Wilson Odobert (hamstring), Micky van de Ven (hamstring), Richarlison (hamstring), Vicario (ankle)

• Doubts: Mikey Moore (illness), Cristian Romero (foot)

• Suspensions: Rodrigo Bentancur (until 26th December)

West Ham

• Ruled Out: Niclas Fullkrug (Achilles)

• Doubts: Jean-Clair Todibo (knock)

• Suspensions: Mohammed Kudus (until 3rd December)

Wolves

• Ruled Out: Enso Gonzalez (knee), Sasa Kalajdzic (knee), Boubacar Traore (knee), Yerson Mosquera (knee)

• Doubts: Bastien Meupiyou (fitness), Hwang Hee-chan (fitness)

• Suspensions: None

Buys of the week:

• João Pedro (Brighton): Top priority due to favorable fixtures (Southampton, Fulham, Leicester) and penalty duties. Minimal rotation risk given his importance to the team.

• Cunha (Wolves): In form but slightly overperforming his stats. Good fixtures but secondary to João Pedro.

• Isak (Newcastle): A solid pick despite tricky fixtures. Offers consistent returns when fit.

• Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): Consistent form and reliable returns make him a must-own despite tough fixtures.

• Cole Palmer (Chelsea): Budget-friendly and on penalties, making him a valuable asset.

• Bukayo Saka (Arsenal): Back to form with a favorable run of fixtures.

• Gabriel (Arsenal): Strong fixtures and goal threat.

• Timber (Arsenal): Offers attacking upside and is nailed for now.

• Lewis Hall (Chelsea): Cheap option for rotation with decent fixtures.

Don’t buys:

• Haaland (Man City):

  • Poor recent form and tougher fixtures (Liverpool next).

• Solanke (Spurs):

  • Struggling to justify price with better cheaper alternatives available.

• Jamie Vardy (Leicester):

  • Rotation risk and reduced minutes with Leicester’s schedule.

• Luis Díaz (Liverpool):

  • Prone to rotation; tough fixtures ahead.

• McNeil (Everton):

  • Diminishing returns due to challenging schedule.

• Brennan Johnson (Spurs):

  • Rotation concerns and unfavorable fixtures.

• Garnacho (Man United):

  • Not guaranteed a starting role; could soon be dropped.

Differential pick of the week:

Last weeks pick was Evanilson who let me down last week with a poor pick up of 3 points, however I want to back him again this week, he plays Wolves away and i can see him picking up more decent points this weekend.

Captain picks:

• Salah: Consistently the most trusted option, especially in tough weeks like this one.

• Darwin Núñez: An alternative for those seeking a differential pick.

• Saka: A solid third option due to form and fixture.

My team:

As Per I look forward to hearing how everyone has done on Monday, and I wish you all a good weekend